The domestic heavy truck market may continue to decline in the second quarter of 2011, and the market outlook still has expectations

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In March 2011, the performance of the domestic heavy-duty truck market was not satisfactory due to policies such as the Fuel Consumption Management Measures of the Ministry of Transportation; in April, as the impact of the regulations weakened, many people also ignited new sales of heavy-duty trucks. hope. However, according to statistics released a few days ago, the overall situation of the heavy truck market is still not optimistic.

It is understood that in April 2011, the production and sales volume of China's heavy trucks (including non-integrated vehicles and semi-trailer tractors) was 89,185 units and 106,206 units respectively, a decrease of 16.2% and 8.33% year-on-year, which triggered many people's negative growth for the industry in 2011. Worries. With the decline in sales volume and rising costs, the profitability of heavy truck companies has also come under considerable pressure.

Heavy trucks, as a tool for earning money, are closely related to market demand and investment. In heavy-duty truck products, the sales volume of tractors is significantly affected by the volume of road freight turnover, container throughput, and freight rates; the engineering dump trucks are closely related to infrastructure construction and investment in fixed assets.

Judging from the current situation, the increase in freight turnover in China is not obvious, and the recovery in demand for the logistics and freight market is not very strong. The strong sales in 2010 also made the growth rate of heavy trucks greatly exceed the growth rate of road freight turnover, and suppressed the demand for car buyers in 2011. Moreover, the relatively low freight rates continued to decline, coupled with rising oil prices, the profitability of logistics heavy truck users continues to deteriorate, leading to the tractor market has been sluggish since the beginning of the year.

Judging from the sales in January-April 2011, engineering dump trucks are still the absolute main force driving the growth of heavy truck sales. With the tightening of monetary policy, the growth rate of investment in 2011 has also slowed slightly compared to 2010, which also filled the performance of the dump truck market.

According to relevant sources, from the information that heavy-duty truck parts companies learned, heavy-duty truck companies' expectations for orders in May and June have also dropped, and procurement companies have also lowered their procurement targets. This shows that most companies are not optimistic about the trend of the heavy truck market in the second quarter. In this regard, some experts have pointed out that if the tariff cannot be effectively increased, it is expected that the second quarter will have a prosperous sales season.

However, some people think that the heavy-duty truck market in the second half of 2011 has no shortage of expectations. Although the growth of real estate and fixed asset investment has slowed down, the country’s investment in the construction of 1,000 affordable housing projects may become a major highlight of the 2011 heavy truck market. Some analysts believe that in the first half of the year, trapped by factors such as funds, the growth rate of investment in affordable housing did not show significant growth. In the second half of the year, the state's investment in this area may accelerate, which will be heavy trucks for engineering. The sales bring a big pull.

At the same time, with the continuous increase of economic aggregates, China’s demand for resources is increasing. The continuous increase in the import of resources including iron ore, crude oil, and coal may also increase the demand for heavy trucks. A certain role.

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