The new round of refined oil price adjustment window will be opened at 24:00 on September 29. Several agencies have forecasted that domestic oil prices will usher in a "second consecutive increase," or the largest increase in the year. A private car with a 50-litre tank will need to spend more than 7.5 yuan to fill a box of fuel, and owners who have travel plans on the “11th” holiday may refuel before 24 o'clock on the 29th (Friday).

Data map: Taiyuan, Shanxi, gas station staff refueled vehicles. China News Agency reporter Zhang Yunshe

U.S. crude oil inventories declined, which helped push up international oil prices

Since the pricing cycle, under the influence of OPEC's confidence in the oil market outlook, the decline in U.S. crude oil inventories, and the reduction in the number of drilling rigs, international oil prices have oscillated and rise, driving the rate of change of domestic refined oil prices to continue to rise.

On September 27 local time, US crude oil inventories unexpectedly declined, but gasoline inventories unexpectedly increased. At the same time, the continued rebound of the US dollar limited the room for rebound in oil prices. As of the close of the day, the US WTI crude oil futures closed at 52.14 US dollars / barrel, up 0.50%; Brent crude oil futures closed at 57.90 US dollars / barrel, down 0.92%.

Zhongyu Information believes that the recent development of geopolitical risks will still have a certain impact on the international crude oil market, but the overall international oil prices will still be dominated by supply and demand fundamentals, and the international oil price will rise to US$60/barrel still facing greater resistance.

Domestic oil product price adjustments.

Oil prices will increase for the eighth time this year or create the biggest increase in the year

As of the 9th working day of the current round, Anxious predicts that the domestic product oil price change rate is 5.52%, corresponding to the forecast increase of 215 yuan / ton; Longzhong information calculated crude oil comprehensive rate of change is 5.02%, is expected to increase 170 yuan / Ton; Zhongyu Information was 4.86%, temporarily expected to increase 180 yuan / ton; Zhuo Chuang information monitoring rate of change was 5.49%, corresponding to increase 190 yuan / ton.

In 2017, the price adjustment of domestic refined oil products has shown a pattern of “six rises, six falls, and five losses”. This year, the cumulative decrease in gasoline is 260 yuan/ton and diesel 245 yuan/ton. If this round of adjustment is implemented, it will be raised for the eighth time this year.

Zhuo Chong Xu Na, an analyst of refined oil products, said that there is still one working day before the price adjustment window opens. The international oil price may continue to follow the trend of high volatility. The final adjustment rate may exceed 200 yuan/ton, and it is expected to record the largest increase in the year. An Xunsi also believes that the “rising price of oil” has basically been determined. According to the current calculation of crude oil prices, it will be the largest increase in the year.

Previously, the biggest increase in 2017 occurred at 4:00 pm on April 12, while gasoline and diesel rose at RMB 200/ton and RMB 190/ton respectively.

Data Map: On December 14, 2016, many owners in Hangzhou lined up for fuel at the gas station. Photo source: Vision China (18.200, 0.20, 1.11%)

Private car a box of oil spent more than 7.5 yuan eleven to travel can be advanced in advance

"Considering that this time the price adjustment window opens before the arrival of the 'Eleventh' holiday, it is recommended that consumers in a timely manner to fuel in order to save travel costs during the holiday period." Xu Na said.

According to her calculations, if calculated according to the rate of 190 yuan / ton, the synthetic price increase for the 92 # gasoline raised 0.15 yuan / liter, 0 # diesel raised 0.16 yuan / liter. Take a small private car with a fuel tank capacity of around 50 liters for example. It takes 7.5 yuan more to fill a box of oil. If the increase is more than 200 yuan/ton, the cost of a box of oil will increase further.

"Upgrading has become a foregone conclusion. Before 12 o'clock on the 29th, private car owners can fill up the fuel tank in advance." Li Yan, oil analyst of Longzhong Information also said that the preferential rate of main gas stations such as Sinopec is currently at 0.5-1 yuan/ Around l, the preferential rate of private gas stations was mostly 0.4-1.2 yuan/liter, and the super-large discount has disappeared.